Full list of publications

* Click the title to get a summary of the publication

---

In Press

• Razin*, N., C. J. Slocum, J. A. Knaff, P. J. Brown, and M. M. Bell, 2023: Tropical Cyclone Precipitation, Infrared, Microwave, and Environmental Dataset (TC PRIMED). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., in press , https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0052.1

2024

• Savin S. Chand and Kevin J. E. Walsh and Suzana J. Camargo and James P. Kossin and Kevin J. Tory and Michael F. Wehner and Johnny C. L. Chan and Philip J. Klotzbach and Andrew J. Dowdy and Samuel S. Bell and Hamish A. Ramsay and Hiroyuki Murakami, 2024: Reply to: Limitations of reanalyses for detecting tropical cyclone trends. Nature Climate Change, 14 , https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01880-5

• DesRosiers, A. J, and M. M. Bell, 2024: Airborne Radar Quality Control with Machine Learning. Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems, 3, e230064 , https://doi.org/10.1175/AIES-D-23-0064.1

• Silvers, Levi G., and Stansfield, Alyssa M. and Reed, Kevin A., 2024: The Impact of Rotation on Tropical Climate, the Hydrologic Cycle, and Climate Sensitivity. Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2023GL105850 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105850

• Barbero, Tyler W., and Bell, Michael M. and Chen, Jan-Huey and Klotzbach, Philip J., 2024: A Potential Vorticity Diagnosis of Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Errors. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 16, e2023MS004008 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS004008

2023

• Casas, E., D. Tao, and M. M. Bell, 2023: An Intensity and Size Phase Space for Tropical Cyclone Structure and Evolution. J. Geophys. Res. Atmospheres, 128, e2022JD037089 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD037089

• Shufen Zhang and Haikun Zhao and Philip J. Klotzbach and Xianan Jiang and Guosen Chen and Shaohua Chen, 2023: Interannual Variability in the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation Modulates the Meridional Migration of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Genesis. Journal of Climate, 36 , https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0406.1

• Song, Jinjie, and Klotzbach, Philip J., and Wang, Yi-Fan, and Wei, Na, and Duan, Yihong, 2023: Asymmetric influence of the Pacific meridional mode on tropical cyclone formation over the western North Pacific. International Journal of Climatology, 43 , https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8220

• Yuqi Zang, and Haikun Zhao, and Philip J. Klotzbach, and Chao Wang, and Jian Cao, 2023: Relationship between the South Asian High and Western North Pacific tropical cyclone genesis. Atmospheric Research, 281 , https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106491

• Song, Jinjie, and Klotzbach, Philip J., and Wei, Na, and Duan, Yihong, 2023: Modulation of western North Pacific tropical cyclone formation by central Pacific El Niño-Southern Oscillation on decadal and interannual timescales. International Journal of Climatology, 43 , https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7777

• Yuhei Takaya and Louis-Philippe Caron and Eric Blake and François Bonnardot and Nicolas Bruneau and Joanne Camp and Johnny Chan and Paul Gregory and Jhordanne J. Jones and Namyoung Kang and Philip J. Klotzbach and Yuriy Kuleshov and Marie-Dominique Leroux and Julia F. Lockwood and Hiroyuki Murakami and Akio Nishimura and Dushmanta R. Pattanaik and Tom J. Philp and Yohan Ruprich-Robert and Ralf Toumi and Frédéric Vitart and Seonghee Won and Ruifen Zhan, 2023: Recent advances in seasonal and multi-annual tropical cyclone forecasting. Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 12 , https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcrr.2023.09.003

• Majumdar, Sharanya J. and Nebylitsa, Samantha and Klotzbach, Philip J. and Masiello, Cameron and Michael, Zachary R., 2023: North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Intensification: Regional Drivers and Trends. Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2023GL104803 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104803

• Razin*, N., C. J. Slocum, J. A. Knaff, P. J. Brown, and M. M. Bell, 2023: Tropical Cyclone Precipitation, Infrared, Microwave, and Environmental Dataset (TC PRIMED). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104 , https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0052.1

• Song, Jinjie, and Klotzbach, Philip J., and Wei, Na, and Duan, Yihong, 2023: What Controls the Interannual Variation in Rapid Intensification Magnitude of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones?. Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2023GL105084 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105084

• Yi-Jie Zhu, Jennifer Collins, Joanne Muller and Philip Klotzbach, 2023: Accumulated Cyclone Energy-Based Tropical Cyclone Return Periods in Florida. Annals of the American Association of Geographers, 113 , https://doi.org/10.1080/24694452.2023.2230288

• Tao, Dandan and Nystrom, Robert and Bell, Michael, 2023: The Quasi-Linear Absolute Angular Momentum Slope of Tropical Cyclones Under Rapid Intensification. Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2023GL104583 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104583

• Klotzbach, P. J, and C. J. Schreck, and G. P. Compo, and K. M. Wood and E. C. J. Oliver and S. G. Bowen, and M. M. Bell, 2023: Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on Continental United States Hurricane Landfalls. Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2023GL102762 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL102762

• DesRosiers, A., M. M. Bell, P. Klotzbach, M. Fischer, and P. Reasor, 2023: Observed Relationships between Tropical Cyclone Vortex Height, Intensity, and Intensification Rate. Geophys. Res. Letters, 50, e2022GL101877 ,

• Chuan-Chieh Chang and Sandro W. Lubis and Karthik Balaguru and L. Ruby Leung and Samson M. Hagos and Philip J. Klotzbach, 2023: An Extratropical Pathway for the Madden–Julian Oscillation’s Influence on North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones. Journal of Climate, 36 , https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0251.1

• Song, Jinjie, and Klotzbach, Philip J., and Wang, Yi-Fan, and Wei, Na, and Duan, Yihong, 2023: Asymmetric influence of the Pacific meridional mode on tropical cyclone formation over the western North Pacific. International Journal of Climatology, 43 , https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8220

• Song, Jinjie, and Klotzbach, Philip J., and Qingyuan, Liu, and Duan, Yihong, 2023: Quasi-biennial modulation of rapidly intensifying tropical cyclones by the western North Pacific monsoon. Environmental Research Communications, 5 , https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/acd43b

• Song, Jinjie, and Klotzbach, Philip J., and Qingyuan, Liu, and Duan, Yihong, 2023: Decadal changes in rapid intensification of western North Pacific tropical cyclones modulated by the North Pacific Gyre Oscillation. Environmental Research Communications, 5 , https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ace762

• Nam, C. C., M. M. Bell, and D. Tao, 2023: Bifurcation Points for Tropical Cyclone Genesis and Intensification in Sheared and Dry Environments. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 80(9), 2239-2259 , https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-22-0100.1

• Haikun Zhao, and Yunjie Jiang, and Kai Zhao, and Jian Cao, and Philip J. Klotzbach, and Graciela B. Raga, and Liguang Wu, 2023: On the relationship between eastern China aerosols and western North Pacific tropical cyclone activity. Atmospheric Research, , https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106604

• Chen, Xiaomin and Rozoff, C. M. and Rogers, R. F. and Corbosiero, K. L. and Tao, D. and Gu, J and Judt, F. and Hendricks, E. A. and Wang, Y. and Bell, M. M. and Stern, D. P. and Musgrave, K. D. and Knaff, J. A. and Kaplan, J., 2023: Research advances on internal processes affecting tropical cyclone intensity change from 2018–2022. Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 12 , https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcrr.2023.05.001

• Cai, Yuhao, and Zhao, Haikun and Klotzbach, Philip J., and Raga, Graciela B. and Xu, Jing, and Wu, Liquang, and Han, Xiang, and He, Bian and Cao, Jian, 2023: Can Tibetan Plateau Snow Depth Influence the Interannual Association between Tropical Indian Ocean Sea Surface Temperatures and Rapidly Intensifying Typhoons?. Journal of Climate, 36 , https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0697.1

• Zhang, Y., X.-C. Chen, M. M. Bell, 2023: Improving Short-Term QPF Using Geostationary Satellite All-Sky Infrared Radiances: Real-Time Ensemble Data Assimilation and Forecast during the PRECIP 2020 and 2021 Experiments. Wea. Forecasting, 384 , https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-22-0156.1

• Dolan, Brenda and Saleeby, Stephen M. and Rutledge, Steven A. and van den Heever, Susan C. and Van Valkenburg, Kristen, 2023: A Statistical Framework for Evaluating Rain Microphysics in Model Simulations and Disdrometer Observations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 128, e2023JD038902 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD038902

• Schreck III, Carl J. and Vitart, Frédéric and Camargo, Suzana J. and Camp, Joanne and Darlow, James and Elsberry, Russell and Gottschalck, Jon and Gregory, Paul and Hansen, Kurt and Jackson, Justyn and Janiga, Matthew A. and Klotzbach, Philip J. and Chia-Ying, Lee and Long, Lindsey and Masuo, Nakano and Kazuto, Takemura and Yuhei, Takaya and Ventrice, Michael J. and Zhuo, Wang, 2023: Advances in tropical cyclone prediction on subseasonal time scales during 2019-2022. Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 12 , https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcrr.2023.06.004

• Silvers, Levi G., and Reed, Kevin A. and Wing, Allison A., 2023: The Response of the Large-Scale Tropical Circulation to Warming. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15, e2021MS002966 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2021MS002966

• Dolan, Brenda and Kollias, Pavlos and van den Heever, Susan C. and Rasmussen, Kristen L. and Oue, Mariko and Luke, Edward and Lamer, Katia and Treserras, Bernat P. and Haddad, Ziad and Stephens, Graeme and Chandrasekar, V., 2023: Time Resolved Reflectivity Measurements of Convective Clouds. Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2023GL105723 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105723

2022

• Klotzbach, P. J., K. M. Wood, M. M. Bell, E. S. Blake, S. G. Bowen, L.-P. Caron, J. M. Collins, E. J. Gibney, C. J. Schreck III; R. E. Truchelut, 2022: A Hyperactive End to the Atlantic Hurricane Season: October–November 2020. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc, 103, E110-E128 , https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0312.1

• Klotzbach, P. J, D. R. Chavas, M. M. Bell, S. G. Bowen, E. J. Gibney, and C. J. Schreck, 2022: Characterizing Continental US Hurricane Risk: Which Intensity Metric Is Best?. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 127, e2022JD037030 , https://doi. org/10.1029/2022JD037030

• Panasawatwong, W., K. Rasmussen, and M. M. Bell, 2022: A Climatology of Extreme Convective Storms in Tropical East Asia and Their Ingredients for Heavy Rainfall as seen by TRMM. J. Geophys. Res. Atmospheres, 127, e2022JD036863 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD036863

• Lee, W., I.-J. Moon, S.-H. Kim, M. M. Bell, and I. Ginis, 2022: New parameterization of air-sea exchange coefficients and its impact on intensity prediction under major tropical cyclones. Front. Mar. Sci., 9:1046511 , https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2022.1046511

• Klotzbach, P.J., K. M. Wood, C. J. Schreck, S. G. Bowen, C. M. Patricola, and M. M. Bell, 2022: Trends in Global Tropical Cyclone Activity: 1990–2021. Geophys. Res. Letters, 49, e2021GL095774 , https://doi. org/10.1029/2021GL095774

• Savin S. Chand and Kevin J. E. Walsh and Suzana J. Camargo and James P. Kossin and Kevin J. Tory and Michael F. Wehner and Johnny C. L. Chan and Philip J. Klotzbach and Andrew J. Dowdy and Samuel S. Bell and Hamish A. Ramsay and Hiroyuki Murakami, 2022: Declining tropical cyclone frequency under global warming. Nature Climate Change, 12 , https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01388-4

• Dolan, Brenda and Rutledge, Steven A. and Rasmussen, Kristen L, 2022: Multiscale Interactions Contributing to Enhanced Orographic Precipitation in Landfalling Frontal Systems over the Olympic Peninsula. Monthly Weather Review, 150, 6 , https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-21-0160.1

• Tao, D., P. J. van Leeuwen, M. M. Bell, and Y. Ying, 2022: Dynamics and predictability of tropical cyclone rapid intensification in ensemble simulations of Hurricane Patricia (2015). J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 127, e2021JD036079 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD036079

• Cole, A. S., M. M. Bell, and J. C. DeHart, 2022: An Ensemble-Based Analysis of a Liminal Extreme Rainfall Event near Taiwan. Atmosphere, 13, 1011 , https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13071011

• Jones, J., M. M. Bell, P. J. Klotzbach, and E. A. Barnes, 2022: Wintertime Rossby Wave Breaking Persistence in Extended-range Seasonal Forecasts of Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity. Journal of Climate, 35, 2133-2147 , https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0213.1

• Dennis J. M., A. H. Baker, B. Dobbins, M. M. Bell, J. Sun, Y. Kim, T.-Y. Cha, 2022: Enabling efficient execution of a variational data assimilation application. International Journal of High Performance Computing Applications, doi:10.1177/10943420221119801 , https://doi.org/0.1177/10943420221119801

• DesRosiers, A., M. M. Bell, and T.-Y. Cha, 2022: Vertical vortex development of Hurricane Michael (2018) during Rapid Intensification. Mon. Wea. Rev., 150, 99-114 , https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-21-0098.1

• Kim, D., D.-S. R. Park, C. C. Nam, and M. M. Bell, 2022: The parametric hurricane rainfall model with moisture and its application to climate change projections. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5, 86 , https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-022-00308-9

• Martinez, J., C. A. Davis, and M. M. Bell, 2022: Eyewall Asymmetries and Their Contributions to the Intensification of an Idealized Tropical Cyclone Translating in Uniform Flow. J. Atmos. Sci., 79, 2471-2491 , https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-21-0302.1

2021

• Trabing, B., M. M. Bell, 2021: Observations of Diurnal Variability under the Cirrus Canopy of Typhoon Kong-rey (2018). Monthly Weather Review, 149(9), 2945-2964 , https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0327.1

• Schreck, C. J., Klotzbach, P. J., & Bell, M. M, 2021: Optimal climate normals for North Atlantic hurricane activity. Geophysical Research Letters, 48, e2021GL092864 , https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2019.06.010

• Cha, T-Y., M. M. Bell, 2021: Comparison of Single Doppler and Multiple Doppler Wind Retrievals in Hurricane Matthew (2016). Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 14, 3523–3539 , https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-14-3523-2021

• Nam, C. C., M. M. Bell, 2021: Multi-scale shear impacts during the genesis of Hagupit (2008). Monthly Weather Review, 149, 551-569 , https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0133.1

• Razin, N., M. M. Bell, 2021: The Unconventional Eyewall Replacement Cycle of Hurricane Ophelia. Monthly Weather Review, 149(7), 2151-2170. , https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0181.1

• Fueglistaler, Stephan and Silvers, Levi G., 2021: The Peculiar Trajectory of Global Warming. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126, e2020JD033629 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD033629

• Cha, T-Y., M. M. Bell, A. J. DesRosiers, 2021: Doppler radar analysis of the eyewall replacement cycle of hurricane matthew (2016) in vertical wind shear. Monthly Weather Review, 149(9), 2927 - 2943 , https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0289.1

• Silvers, Levi G and Robinson, Thomas, 2021: Clouds and radiation in a mock-Walker circulation. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 13 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2020MS002196

• Trabing, B., M. M. Bell, 2021: The Sensitivity of Eyewall Replacement Cycles to Shortwave Radiation. Journal of Geophysical Research, 126, e2020JD034016. , https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD034016

• Zhang, Gan, and Silverss, Levi G. and Zhao, Ming and Knutson, Tom. R., 2021: Idealized Aqua-Planet Simulations of Tropical Cyclone Activity: Significance of Temperature Gradients, Hadley Circulation, and Zonal Asymmetry.. Journal of Atmospheric Science, 78, 877-902 , https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-20-0079.1

• Boehm, A.M, M. M. Bell, 2021: Retrieved Thermodynamic Structure of Hurricane Rita (2005) from Airborne Multi-Doppler Radar Data. Journal of Atmospheric Science, 78(5), 1583-1605 , https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-20-0195.1

2020

• Saunders, M. A., P. J. Klotzbach, A. S. R. Lea, C. J. Schreck, M. M. Bell, 2020: Quantifying the Probability and Causes of the Surprisingly Active 2018 North Atlantic hurricane season. Earth and Space Science, 7, e2019EA000852 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2019EA000852

• del Moral, A., T. M. Weckwerth, T. Rigo, M. M. Bell, M. Carmen Llasat, 2020: C-band dual-Doppler retrievals in complex terrain: Improving the knowledge of severe storm dynamics in Catalonia . Remote Sensing, 12, 2930 , https://doi.org/10.3390/rs12182930

• Song, J., Y. Duan, and P. J. Klotzbach, 2020: Revisiting the relationship between tropical cyclone size and intensity over the western North Pacific. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL088217 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088217

• Trabing, B. C., and M. M. Bell, 2020: Understanding Rapid Intensity Changes in Official Hurricane Intensity Forecast Error Distributions. Wea. Forecasting, 35, 2219–2234 , https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0253.1

• Klotzbach, P. J., C. J. Schreck III, G. P. Compo, S. G. Bowen, E. J. Gibney, E. C. J. Oliver, M. M. Bell, 2020: The record-breaking 1933 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, published , https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0330.1

• Klotzbach, P. J., M. M. Bell, S. G. Bowen, E. J. Gibney, K. R. Knapp, and C. J. Schreck III, 2020: Surface pressure a more skillful predictor of normalized hurricane damage than maximum sustained wind. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101, E830–E846 , https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0062.1

• Cha, T-Y., M. M. Bell, W.-C. Lee, A. J. DesRosiers, 2020: Polygonal Eyewall Asymmetries during the rapid intensification of Hurricane Michael (2018). Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL087919 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL087919

• Stechman, D. M., G. M. McFarquhar, R. M. Rauber, M. M. Bell, B. F. Jewett, and J. Martinez, 2020: Spatiotemporal Evolution of the Microphysical and Thermodynamic Characteristics of the 20 June 2015 PECAN MCS. Mon. Wea. Rev., 148, 1363-1388 , https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0293.1

• Tao, D. R. Rotunno, and M. M. Bell, 2020: Lilly’s Model for Steady-State Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Structure. J. Atmos. Sci., 77, 3701–3720 , https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-20-0057.1

• Song, J., P. J. Klotzbach, and Y. Duan, 2020: Increasing trend in rapid intensification magnitude of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific. Environmental Research Letters, 15, 084043 , https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab9140

• Tao, D., M. M. Bell, R. Rotunno, and P. J. van Leeuwen, 2020: Why do the maximum intensities in modeled tropical cyclones vary under the same environmental conditions?. Geophys. Res. Letters, 47, e2019GL085980 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085980

• Jones, Jhordanne J., Michael M. Bell, Philip J. Klotzbach, 2020: Tropical and Subtropical North Atlantic Vertical Wind Shear and Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Activity. Journal of Climate, vol 33, issue 13 , https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0474.1

• Wood, K. M., P. J. Klotzbach, J. M. Collins, R. E. Truchelut, L.-P. Caron, and C. J. Schreck III, 2020: Factors affecting the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season and the role of the Indian Ocean Dipole. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL087781 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL087781

• DeHart, J. C., M. M. Bell, 2020: A Comparison of the Polarimetric Radar Characteristics of Heavy Rainfall from Hurricanes Harvey (2017) and Florence (2018). Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 125, e2019JD032212 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD032212

• Marinescu, P.J., P.C. Kennedy, M.M. Bell, A.J. Drager, L.D. Grant, S.W. Freeman, S.C. van den Heever, 2020: Updraft Vertical Velocity Observations and Uncertainties in High Plains Supercells Using Radiosondes and Radars. Monthly Weather Review, 148, 4435–4452 , https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0071.1

• Martinez, J., C. C. Nam, M. M. Bell, 2020: On the Contributions of Incipient Vortex Circulation and Environmental Moisture to Tropical Cyclone Expansion. Journal of Geophysical Research, 125, e2020JD033324 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD033324

• Song, J., P. J. Klotzbach, and Y. Duan, 2020: Relationship between spring tropical cyclone frequency over the western North Pacific and El Niño-Southern Oscillation. International Journal of Climatology, vol 16, issue 1 , https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6703

• Klotzbach, P. J., L.-P. Caron, M. M. Bell, 2020: A statistical/dynamical model for North Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Prediction. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL089357 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL089357

• Park, J., D.-H. Cha, M.-K. Lee, J. Moon, S.-J. Hahm, K. Noh, J. Chan and M. M. Bell, 2020: Impact of cloud microphysics schemes on tropical cyclone forecast over the western North Pacific. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 125, e2019JD032288 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD032288

• Caron, L.-P., F. Massonet, P. J. Klotzbach, T. J. Philp, J. Stroeve, 2020: Making Seasonal Outlooks of Arctic Sea Ice and Atlantic Hurricanes Valuable—Not Just Skillful. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101, E36-E42 , https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0314.1

2019

• Zhao, H., X. Jiang, L. Wu, and P. J. Klotzbach, 2019: Multi-scale interactions of equatorial waves associated with tropical cyclogenesis over the western North Pacific. Climate Dynamics, 52, 3023-3038 , https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4307-z

• Wood, K., P. J. Klotzbach, J. M. Collins, and C. J. Schreck III, 2019: The record-setting 2018 eastern North Pacific hurricane season. Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 10072-10081 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083657

• Klotzbach, P. J., E. Blake, J. Camp, L.-P. Caron, J. C. L. Chan, N.-Y. Kang, Y. Kuleshov, S.-M. Lee, H. Murakami, M. Saunders, Y. Takaya, F. Vitart, R. Zhan, 2019: Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Forecasting. Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 8, 134-149 , https://doi.org/10.6057/2019TCRR03.03

• Bhardwaj. P., O. Singh, D. R. Pattaniak, and P. J. Klotzbach, 2019: Modulation of Bay of Bengal tropical cyclone activity by the Madden-Julian oscillation. Atmospheric Research, 229, 23-38 , https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2019.06.010

• Tao, D., K. Emanuel, F. Zhang, R. Rotunno, M. M. Bell, R. Nystrom,, 2019: Evaluation of the Assumptions in the Steady-State Tropical Cyclone Self-Stratified Outflow Using Three-Dimensional Convection-Allowing Simulations. J. Atmos. Sci., 76, 2995-3009 , https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-19-0033.1

• Zhao, H., S. Chen, and P. J. Klotzbach, 2019: Recent strengthening of the relationship between the western North Pacific monsoon and western North Pacific tropical cyclone activity during the boreal summer. Journal of Climate, 32, 8283-8299 , https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0016.1

• Klotzbach, P. J., A. Santra, H. H. Hendon, M. M. Bell, C. Lucas, A. G. Marshall, E. C. J. Oliver, 2019: On the Emerging Relationship between the Stratospheric Quasi-Biennial Oscillation and the Madden-Julian Oscillation. Scientific Reports, 9, 2981 , https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-40034-6

• Zhao, H., J. Zhang, P. J. Klotzbach, and S. Chen, 2019: Recent increased co-variability of tropical cyclogenesis latitude-longitude over the western North Pacific during the extended boreal summer. Journal of Climate, 32, 8167-8179 , https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0009.1

• Bell, M. M., M. T. Montgomery, 2019: Mesoscale Processes during the Genesis of Hurricane Karl (2010). Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 76, 2235–2255 , https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-18-0161.1

• Trabing, B. C., M. M. Bell, and B. R. Brown, 2019: Impacts of Radiation and Upper Tropospheric Temperatures on Tropical Cyclone Structure and Intensity. J. Atmos. Sci., 76, 135-153 , https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-18-0165.1

• Wahiduzzaman, M., E. C. J. Oliver, P. J. Klotzbach, S. J. Wotherspoon, N. J. Holbrook, 2019: A Statistical Seasonal Forecast Model of North Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones using the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation. International Journal of Climatology, 39, 934-952 , https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5853

• Martinez, J., M. M. Bell, R. F. Rogers, J. D. Doyle, 2019: Axisymmetric potential vorticity evolution of Hurricane Patricia (2015). Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 76, 2043-2063 , https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-18-0373.1

• Camargo, S. J., J. Camp, R. L. Elsberry, P. A. Gregory, P. J. Klotzbach, C. J. Schreck III, A. H. Sobel, M. J. Ventrice, F. Vitart, Z. Wang, M. C. Wheeler, M. Yamaguchi, and R. Zhan, 2019: Tropical cyclone prediction on sub-seasonal timescales. Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 8, 150-165 , https://doi.org/10.6057/2019TCRR03.04

• Zhao, H., S. Chen, G. B. Raga, P. J. Klotzbach, 2019: Recent decrease in genesis productivity of tropical cloud clusters over the Western North Pacific. Climate Dynamics, 52, 5819-5831 , https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4477-8

• Zhao, H., L. Wu, C. Wang, and P. J. Klotzbach, 2019: Consistent late onset of the western North Pacific tropical cyclone season following major El Nino events. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 97, 673-688 , https://doi.org/10.2151/jmsj.2019-039

• Song, J., and P. J. Klotzbach, 2019: Relationship between the Pacific-North American pattern and the frequency of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific. Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 6118-6127 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL082925

• Zhao, H., X. Jiang, L. Wu, P. J. Klotzbach, 2019: Multi-scale interactions of equatorial waves associated with tropical cyclogenesis over the western North Pacific. Climate Dynamics, 52, 3023-3038 , https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4307-z

• Powell, S., and M. M. Bell, 2019: Near-Surface Frontogenesis and Atmospheric Instability along the U.S. East Coast during the Extratropical Transition of Hurricane Matthew (2016). Mon. Wea. Rev., 174, 719-732 , https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-18-0094.1

---

2018

• Feng, Y.-C., and Bell, M. M, 2018: Microphysical characteristics of an asymmetric eyewall in major Hurricane Harvey (2017). Geophys. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1029/2018gl080770.

• Chang, C., R.H. Johnson, K. Ha, D. Kim, G. Ngar-Cheung Lau, B. Wang, M.M. Bell, and Y. Luo, 2018: The Multiscale Global Monsoon System: Research and Prediction Challenges in Weather and Climate. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99, ES149–ES153.

• Cheung, K. Z. Yu, R. L. Elsberry, M. M. Bell, H. Jiang, T. C. Lee, K.-C. Lu, Y. Oikawa, L. Qi, R. F. Rogers, K. Tsuboki, 2018: Recent Advances in Research and Forecasting of Tropical Cyclone Rainfall. Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 7(2), 106-127.

• Elsberry, R.L., E. A. Hendricks, C. S. Velden, M. M. Bell, M. Peng, E. Casas, and Q. Zhao, 2018: Demonstration with special TCI-15 datasets of potential impacts of new-generation satellite atmospheric motion vectors on Navy regional and global models. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 1617–1637.

• Klotzbach, P. J., C. J. Schreck III, J. M. Collins, M. M Bell, E. S. Blake, D. Roache, 2018: The Extremely Active 2017 North Atlantic Hurricane Season. Mon. Wea. Rev., 146, 3425-3443.

• Cai, H., W.-C, Lee, M. M. Bell, C. A. Wolff, X. Tang, and F. Roux, 2018: Generalized Navigation Correction Method for Airborne Doppler Radar Data. J. Atmos. Ocean. Tech, 35, 1999-2017.

• Klotzbach, P.J., S. G. Bowen, R. Pielke Jr., and M. M. Bell, 2018: Continental United States Hurricane Landfall Frequency and Associated Damage: Observations and Future Risks. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99, 1359-1376.

• Song, J., and P. J. Klotzbach, 2018: What has controlled the poleward migration of annual averaged location of tropical cyclone lifetime maximum intensity over the western North Pacific since 1961? Geophys. Res. Lett, doi: 10.1002/2017GL076883.

• Zhao, H., G. B. Raga, and P. J. Klotzbach, 2018: Impact of the boreal summer quasi-biweekly oscillation on Eastern North Pacific tropical cyclone activity. Int. Journ. Clim., 38, 1353-1365.

• Tang, X., W.-C. Lee, and M. M. Bell, 2018: Sub-Rainband structure and dynamic characteristics in the Principal Rainband of Typhoon Haguipit (2008) Mon. Wea. Rev., 146, 157–173.

• Klotzbach, P. J., S. G. Bowen, R. Pielke Jr., and M. M. Bell, 2018: Continental United States landfall frequency and associated damage: Observations and future risks. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99, 1359-1376.

• Klotzbach, P. J., C. J. Schreck III, J. M. Collins, M. M. Bell, E. S. Blake, and D. R. Roache, 2018: The extremely active 2017 North Atlantic hurricane season. Mon. Wea. Rev., 146, 3425-3443.

• Song, J., and P. J. Klotzbach, 2018: What has controlled the poleward migration of annual averaged location of tropical cyclone lifetime maximum intensity over the western North Pacific since 1961? Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 1148-1156.

• Zhao, H., G. B. Raga, and P. J. Klotzbach, 2018: Impact of the boreal summer quasi-biweekly oscillation on Eastern North Pacific tropical cyclone activity. Int. Journ. Clim., 38, 1353-1365.

• Wang, S.-Y., L. Zhao, J.-H. Yoon, P. J. Klotzbach, and R. Gillies, 2018: Attribution of climate effects on Hurricane Harvey's extreme rainfall in Texas. Environ. Res. Lett., 13, 054014.

• Patricola, C. M., S. J. Camargo, P. J. Klotzbach, R. Saravanan, and P. Chang, 2018: The influence of ENSO flavors on western North Pacific tropical cyclone activity. J. Climate, 31, 5395-5416.

• Song, J., P. J. Klotzbach, J. Ting, and Y. Wang, 2018: The increasing variability of tropical cyclone maximum lifetime intensity. Scientific Reports, 8, 16641.

• Zhao, H., X. Duan, G. B. Raga, and P. J. Klotzbach, 2018: Changes in characteristics of rapidly intensifying western North Pacific tropical cyclones related to climate regime shifts. J. Climate, 31, 8163-8179.

• Weinkle, J., C. Landsea, D. Collins, R. Masulin, R. P. Crompton, P. J. Klotzbach, and R. Pielke Jr., 2018: Normalized hurricane damage in the continental United States 1900-2017. Nature Sustainability, 1, 808-813.

• Zhao, H., S. Chen, P. J. Klotzbach, and G. B. Raga, 2018: Impact of the extended boreal summer Madden-Julian Oscillation on western North Pacific tropical cloud cluster genesis productivity. J. Climate, 31, 9175-9191.

2017

• Foerster, A., and M. M. Bell, 2017: Thermodynamic Retrieval in Rapidly Rotating Vortices from Multiple-Doppler Radar. J. Atmospheric Ocean. Technol., 34, 2353-2374.

• Martinez, J., M. M. Bell, J. Vigh, and R. Rogers, 2017: Examination of Tropical Cyclone Structure and Intensification with the Extended Flight Level Dataset (FLIGHT+) from 1999 to 2012. Mon. Wea. Rev., 145, 4401-4421.

• Doyle, J. D., J. Moskaitis, J. Feldmeier, R. Ferek, M. Beaubien, M. M. Bell, D. Cecil, R. Creasey, P. Duran, R. Elsberry, W. Komaromi, J. Molinari, D. Ryglicki, D. Stern, C. Velden, X. Wang, T. Allen, B. Barrett, P. Black, J. Dunion, K. Emanuel, P. Harr, L. Harrison, E. Hendricks, D. Herndon, W. Jeffries, S. J. Majumdar, J. Moore, Z. Pu, R. Rogers, E. Sanabia, G. Tripoli, and D.-L. Zhang, 2017: A View of Tropical Cyclones from Above: The Tropical Cyclone Intensity (TCI) Experiment. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.,98,2113-2134

• Rogers R.-F., S. Aberson, M. M. Bell, D. J. Cecil, J. D. Doyle,J. Morgerman, L. K. Shay, and C. Velden, 2017: Re-Writing the Tropical Record Books: The Extraordinary Intensification of Hurricane Patricia (2015). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 2091-2112 .

• Brown, B. R., M. M. Bell, and G. Thompson, 2017: Modifications to a Partially Double Moment Microphysics Parameterization for Hurricane Simulations. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 9, 1150-1166.

• Kalina E. A., S. Y. Matrosov, J. J. Cione, F. D. Marks, J. Vivekanandan, R. A. Black, J. C. Hubbert, M. M. Bell, D. E. Kingsmill, and A. B. White, 2017:The Ice Water Paths of Small and Large Ice Species in Hurricanes Arthur (2014) and Irene (2011). J. Appl. Meteor. and Clim., 56, 1383-1404.

• Park, M.-S., M.-I. Lee, D. Kim, D.-H. Cha, M. M. Bell, and R. L. Elsberry, 2017: Land-based Convection Effects on Near-Coastal Formation of a Tropical Cyclone. Mon. Wea. Rev., 145, 1315–1337.

• Klotzbach, P. J., J. C. L. Chan, P. J. Fitzpatrick, W. M. Frank, C. W. Landsea, and J. L. McBride, 2017: The science of William M. Gray: His contributions to the knowledge of tropical meteorology and tropical cyclones. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc, 98, 2311-2336.

• Saunders, M. A., P. J. Klotzbach, and A. S. R. Lea, 2017: Replicating annual North Atlantic hurricane activity 1878-2012 from environmental variables. JGR-Atmospheres, 122, 6284-6297, doi: 10.1002/2017JD026492.

• Ghelani, R. P. S., E. C. J. Oliver, N. J. Holbrook, M. C. Wheeler, and P. J. Klotzbach, 2017:Joint modulation of intraseasonal rainfall in tropical Australia by the Madden-Julian Oscillation and El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 10,754-10,761, doi: 10.1002/2017GL075452.

• Klotzbach, P. J., J. C. L. Chan, P. J. Fitzpatrick, W. M. Frank, C. W. Landsea, and J. L. McBride, 2017: The science of William M. Gray: His contributions to the knowledge of tropical meteorology and tropical cyclones. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 2311-2336.

• Saunders, M. A., P. J. Klotzbach, and A. S. R. Lea, 2017: Replicating annual North Atlantic hurricane activity 1878-2012 from environmental variables. JGR-Atmospheres, 122, 6284-6297.

• Ghelani, R. P. S., E. C. J. Oliver, N. J. Holbrook, M. C. Wheeler, and P. J. Klotzbach, 2017: Joint modulation of intraseasonal rainfall in tropical Australia by the Madden-Julian Oscillation and El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 10,754-10,761.

• Richman, M. B., L. M. Leslie, H. A. Ramsay, and P. J. Klotzbach, 2017: Reducing tropical cyclone prediction errors using machine learning approaches. Procedia Computer Science, 114, 314-323.

2016

• Brown, B. R., M. M. Bell, and A. Frambach, 2016: Validation of Simulated Hurricane Drop Size Distributions using Polarimetric Radar. Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, doi:10.1002/2015GL067278.

• Klotzbach, P. J., E. C. J. Oliver, R. Leeper, and C. J. Schreck III, 2016: The relationship between the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and southeastern New England snowfall. Mon. Wea. Rev., 144, 1355-1362.

• Collins, J. M., P. J. Klotzbach, R. N. Maue, D. R. Roache, E. S. Blake, C. H. Paxton and C. A. Mehta, 2016: The record-breaking 2015 hurricane season in the Eastern North Pacific: An analysis of environmental conditions. Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 9217-9224.

• Song, J., and P. J. Klotzbach, 2016: Wind structure discrepancies between two best-track data sets for western North Pacific tropical cyclones. J. Climate, 45, 4533-4551.

2015

• Bell, M. M., R. Ballard, M. Bauman, A. Foerster, A. Frambach, K. Kosiba, W.-C. Lee, S. Rees, and J. Wurman, 2015: The Hawaiian Educational Radar Opportunity (HERO). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96, 2167-2181.

• Penny, A. B., P. A. Harr, and M. M. Bell, 2015: Observations of a non-developing tropical disturbance in the western North Pacific during TCS-08 (2008). Mon. Wea. Rev., 143, 2459-2484.

• Klotzbach, P. J., and E. C. J. Oliver, 2015: Modulation of Atlantic basin tropical cyclone activity by the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) from 1905-2011. J. Climate, 28, 204-217.

• Klotzbach, P. J., and E. C. J. Oliver, 2015: Variations in global tropical cyclone activity and the Madden-Julian Oscillation since the midtwentieth century. Geophys. Res. Lett, 42, 4199-4207.

• Klotzbach, P. J., W. M. Gray, and C. T. Fogarty, 2015: Active Atlantic hurricane era at its end? Nature Geoscience, 8, 737-738.

• Klotzbach, P. J., and C. W. Landsea, 2015: Extremely intense hurricanes: Revisiting Webster et al. (2005) after 10 years. J. Climate, 28, 7621-7629.

• Moon, I-J, S-H Kim, P. J. Klotzbach, and J. C. L. Chan, 2015: Roles of interbasin frequency changes in the poleward shift of the maximum intensity location of tropical cyclones. Env. Res. Lett, 10, 104004.

• Walsh, K. J., J. L. McBride, P. J. Klotzbach, S. Balachandran, S. J. Camargo, G. Holland, T. R. Knutson, J. Kossin, T.-C. Lee, and A. Sobel, 2015: Tropical cyclones and climate change. WIREs Climate Change, 7, 65-89.

2014

• Foerster, A. M., M. M. Bell, S. C. Jones, and P. A. Harr, 2014: Observations of the eyewall structure of Typhoon Sinlaku (2008) during the transformation stage of extratropical transition. Mon. Wea. Rev., 142, 3372-3392.

• Quinting, J. F., M. M. Bell, P. A. Harr, and S. C. Jones, 2014: Structural characteristics of T-PARC Typhoon Sinlaku during its extratropical transition. Mon. Wea. Rev., 142, 1945-1961.

• Tang, X., W.-C. Lee, M. M. Bell, and Y. Wang, 2014: A Squall line like principal rainband in Typhoon Hagupit (2008) observed by airborne Doppler radar. J. Atmos. Sci., 71, 2733-2746.

• Klotzbach, P. J., 2014: The Madden-Julian Oscillation's impacts on worldwide tropical cyclone activity. J. Climate, 27, 2317-2330.

• Klotzbach, P. J., 2014: Prediction of seasonal Atlantic basin accumulated cyclone energy from 1 July. Wea. Forecasting, 29, 115-121.

2013

• Lussier, L. L., M. T. Montgomery, and M. M. Bell, 2013: The genesis of Typhoon Nuri as observed during the Tropical Cyclone Structure 2008 (TCS08) field experiment - Part 3: Kinematical and dynamical aspects of genesis. Atmos. Chem. and Phys, 14, 8795-8812, doi:10.5194/acp-14-8795-2014.

• Bell, M. M., W.-C. Lee, C. Wolff, and H. Cai, 2013: A Solo-based automated quality control algorithm for airborne Doppler tail radar data. J. Appl. Meteor. and Clim., 52, 2509-2528.

• Sanger, N. T., M. T. Montgomery, R. K. Smith, and M. M. Bell, 2013: An observational study of tropical-cyclone spin-up in Supertyphoon Jangmi (2008) from 24-27 September. Mon. Wea. Rev., 124, 3-28.

• Klotzbach, P. J., and E. S. Blake, 2013: North Central Pacific tropical cyclones: Impacts of El Niño-Southern Oscillation and the Madden-Julian Oscillation. J. Climate, 26, 7720-7733.

2012

• Bell, M. M., M. T. Montgomery, and K. E. Emanuel, 2012: Air-sea enthalpy and momentum exchange at major hurricane wind speeds observed during CBLAST. J. Atmos. Sci., 69, 3197-3122.

• Bell, M. M., M. T. Montgomery, and W.-C. Lee, 2012: An axisymmetric view of concentric eyewall evolution in Hurricane Rita (2005). J. Atmos. Sci., 69, 2414-2432.

• Bell, M. M., and W.-C. Lee, 2012: Objective tropical cyclone center tracking using single Doppler radar. J. Appl. Meteor. And Clim., 51, 878-896.

• Montgomery, M. T., C. Davis, T. Dunkerton, Z. Wang, C. Velden, R. Torn, S. Majumdar, F. Zhang, R. Smith, L. Bosart, M. Bell, J. Haase, M. A. Boothe, J. Jensen, and T. Campos, 2012: The Pre-Depression Investigation of Cloud Systems in the Tropics (PREDICT) Experiment: Scientific Basis, New Analysis Tools and Some First Results. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 93, 153-172.

• Klotzbach, P. J., 2012: El Niño-Southern Oscillation, the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Atlantic basin tropical cyclone rapid intensification. J. Geophys. Res., 117, D14104.

2011

• Murillo, S. T., W.-C. Lee, M. M. Bell, F. D. Marks Jr., P. P. Dodge, and G. M. Barnes, 2011: Intercomparison of GBVTD-retrieved circulation centers and structures of Hurricane Danny (1997) from two coastal WSR-88Ds. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 153-174.

• Klotzbach, P. J., 2011: The influence of El Niño-Southern Oscillation and the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation on Caribbean tropical cyclone activity. J. Climate, 24, 721-731.

• Klotzbach, P. J., 2011: El Niño-Southern Oscillation's Impact on Atlantic Basin hurricanes and U.S. landfalls. J. Climate, 24, 1252-1263.

• Klotzbach, P. J., 2011: A simplified Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane prediction scheme from 1 August. Geophys. Res. Lett, 38, L16710.

• Klotzbach, P. J., 2011: Forecasting October-November Caribbean hurricane days. J. Geophys. Res., 116, D18117.

2010

• Bell, M. M., and M. T. Montgomery, 2010: Sheared deep vortical convection in pre-depression Hagupit during TCS08. Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L06802, doi:10.1029/2009GL042313.

• Klotzbach, P. J., 2010: On the Madden-Julian oscillation : Atlantic hurricane relationship. J. Climate, 23, 282-293.

• Christy, J. R., B. Herman, R. Pielke Sr., P. J. Klotzbach, R. T. McNider, J. Hnilo, R. W. Spencer, T. Chase, and D. Douglass, 2010: What do observational datasets say about modeled tropospheric temperature trends since 1979? Remote Sensing, 2, 2148-2169.

2009

• Houze, R. A., Lee, W.-C., M. M. Bell, 2009: Convective contributions to the genesis of Hurricane Ophelia (2005): Observations from RAINEX. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 2778-2800.

• Klotzbach, P. J., and W. M. Gray, 2009: 25 years of Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane forecasts. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L09711.

• Klotzbach, P. J., R. A. Pielke Sr., R. A. Pielke Jr., J. Christy, R. McNider, 2009: An alternative explanation for differential temperature trends at the surface and in the lower troposphere. J. Geophys. Res., 114, D21102.

• Grossmann, I., and P. J. Klotzbach, 2009: A review of North Atlantic modes of natural variability and their driving mechanisms. J. Geophys. Res, 114, D24107.

2008

• Lee, W.-C., M. M. Bell, and K. A. Goodman, 2008: Supercells and mesocyclones in the outer rainbands of Hurricane Katrina (2005). Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L16803, doi:10.1029/2008GL034724

• Bell, M. M., and M. T. Montgomery, 2008: Observed structure, evolution, and potential intensity of category five Hurricane Isabel (2003) from 12 - 14 September. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 2023-2046.

• Klotzbach, P. J., and W. M. Gray, 2008: Multi-decadal variability in North Atlantic tropical cyclone activity. J. Climate, 21, 3929-3935.

• Klotzbach, P. J., 2008: Refinements to Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane prediction from 1 December. J. Geophys. Res., 113, D17109.

2007

• Houze, R. A., S. S. Chen, B. F. Smull, W.-C. Lee, and M. M. Bell, 2007: Hurricane Intensity Change and Eyewall Replacement. Science, 315, 1235-1239.

• Tanamachi, R., H. Bluestein, W.-C. Lee, M. M. Bell, A. Pazmany, 2007: Ground-Based Velocity Track Display (GBVTD) Analysis of W-Band Doppler Radar Data in a Tornado near Stockton, Kansas on 15 May 1999. Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 783-800.

• Lee, W.-C., and M. M. Bell, 2007: Rapid intensification, eyewall contraction, and breakdown of Hurricane Charley (2004) near landfall. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L02802, doi:10.1029/2006GL027889.

• Klotzbach, P. J., 2007: Recent developments in statistical prediction of seasonal Atlantic basin tropical cyclone activity. Tellus A, 59, 511-518.

• Klotzbach, P. J., 2007: Revised prediction of seasonal Atlantic basin tropical cyclone activity from 1 August. Wea. and Forecasting, 22, 937-949.

• Camargo, S. J., A. G. Barnston, P. J. Klotzbach, and C. W. Landsea, 2007: Seasonal tropical cyclone forecasts. WMO Bull., 56, 297-309.

2006

• Houze, R. A., S. S. Chen, W.-C. Lee, R. F. Rogers, J. A. Moore, G. J. Stossmeister, J. L. Cetrone,W. Zhao, and M. M. Bell, 2006: The Hurricane Rainband and Intensity Change Experiment (RAINEX): Observations and modeling of Hurricanes Katrina, Ophelia, and Rita (2005). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 87, 1503-1521.

• Montgomery, M. T., M. M. Bell, S. Aberson, M. Black, 2006: Superintense winds in Hurricane Isabel (2003). Part I: Mean Vortex Structure and Maximum Intensity Estimates. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 87, 1335-1347.

• Aberson, S., M. Montgomery, M. M. Bell, M. Black, 2006: Superintense winds in Hurricane Isabel (2003). Part II: Extreme Wind Speeds. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 87, 1349-1354.

• Lee, W.-C. M. M. Bell, P. Harasti, B. Jou, M.-H. Chang, 2006: Doppler Velocity Signatures of Idealized Elliptical Vortices. Terrestrial Atmos. and Oceans, 17, 429-446.

• Klotzbach, P. J., 2006: Trends in global tropical cyclone activity over the past twenty years (1986-2005). Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L10805.

• Klotzbach, P. J., and W. M. Gray, 2006: Causes of the unusually destructive 2004 Atlantic basin hurricane season. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 87, 1325-1333.

2005

• Klotzbach, P. J., and W. M. Gray, 2005: Summary of 2004 Atlantic basin tropical cyclone activity and verification of seasonal forecasts. Shore and Beach, 73, 20-24.

2004

• Klotzbach, P. J., and W. M. Gray, 2004: Updated 6-11-month prediction of Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane activity. Wea. and Forecasting, 19, 917-934.

2003

• Bluestein, H. B., W.-C. Lee, M. M. Bell, C. C. Weiss, A. L. Pazmany, 2003: Mobile Doppler radar observations of a tornado in a supercell near Bassett, Nebraska, on 5 June 1999. Part II: Tornado-vortex structure. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 2968-2894.

• Klotzbach, P. J., and W. M. Gray, 2003: Forecasting September Atlantic basin tropical cyclone activity. Wea. and Forecasting, 18, 1109-1128.

Publications of Book Chapters, Climate Sidebars, and Thesis/Dissertation

* Click the title to get a summary of the publication

---

Book Chapters

• Klotzbach, P. J., M. A. Saunders, G. D. Bell, and E. S. Blake, 2017: North Atlantic seasonal hurricane prediction: Underlying science and an evaluation of statistical models. Chapter 19 in Climate Extremes: Patterns and Mechanisms, S. Wang et al., Eds., 14 pp, AGU monograph.

• Klotzbach, P. J., A. Barnston, G. D. Bell, S. Camargo, J. C. L. Chan, A. Lea, M. Saunders, and F. Vitart, 2015: Seasonal forecasting of tropical cyclones. Chapter in Global Guide to Tropical Cyclone Forecasting, C. Guard, Ed., 28 pp.

• Aberson, S. D., J. Cione, C.-C. Wu, M. M. Bell, J. Halverson, C. Fogarty, and M. Weissmann, 2010: Aircraft used to observe tropical cyclones. Chapter in "Global Perspectives on Tropical Cyclones", World Scientific, Johnny Chan, Ed., 448 pp.

Bulletin of the AMS State of the Climate Sidebars

• Klotzbach, P. J., 2019: Hurricane Michael: A Florida Panhandle record-breaking hurricane. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 100, S119-S120.

• Klotzbach, P. J., 2018: Hurricane Irma: Rewriting the record books. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99, S136-S137.

• Klotzbach, P. J., 2017: Record-setting North Atlantic Hurricane Matthew. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, S106-S107.

• Klotzbach, P. J., and C. T. Fogarty, 2016: The record-shattering 2015 Northern Hemisphere tropical cyclone season. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97, S127-S128.

• Klotzbach, P. J., and C. T. Fogarty, 2015: 2013 vs. 2014 Atlantic hurricane activity: A brief comparison of two below-average seasons. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96, S104-S105.

• Fogarty, C. T., and P. J. Klotzbach, 2014: The 2013 Atlantic basin hurricane season: Blip or flip? Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 95, S106-S107.

M. S. Thesis and Ph.D. Dissertation

• Bell, M. M., 2010: Air-sea enthalpy and momentum exchange at major hurricane wind speeds. Ph. D. Dissertation, Naval Postgraduate School.
• Bell, M. M., 2006: Observed structure, evolution, and potential intensity of category five Hurricane Isabel (2003) from 12 - 14 September. M. S. Thesis, Colorado State University.

Publications sorted by Authors

* Click the member's name to get a list of his/her publications

---

Publications sorted by Keywords

* Click the keyword to get a list of the related publications

---